Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 4.971741 5.663663 6.426493 7.331439 8.377708 9.551721 10.972198
2025-03-23 4.161539 5.088839 6.193062 7.610882 9.391659 11.565393 14.436845
2025-03-30 3.587510 4.621302 5.924460 7.699795 10.073929 13.165199 17.537248
2025-04-06 3.134925 4.210280 5.629400 7.658053 10.514189 14.437354 20.312675
2025-04-13 2.776371 3.862850 5.353651 7.574581 10.843615 15.548145 22.957391
2025-04-20 2.582206 3.710636 5.315366 7.798949 11.609000 17.336908 26.797646
2025-04-27 2.404183 3.556494 5.248838 7.960184 12.279716 19.039530 30.708105
2025-05-04 2.283847 3.471567 5.269543 8.245883 13.161014 21.154256 35.551737
2025-05-11 2.069045 3.218520 5.004066 8.043793 13.221309 21.926257 38.198662
2025-05-18 1.903048 3.025618 4.812516 7.936774 13.418145 22.933863 41.372877
2025-05-25 1.761511 2.858616 4.645651 7.850007 13.632367 23.982525 44.743785
2025-06-01 1.627371 2.691660 4.462750 7.714262 13.738672 24.837651 47.842721
2025-06-08 1.497148 2.522415 4.264458 7.537109 13.759708 25.554272 50.808083
2025-06-15 1.457942 2.506949 4.330867 7.846125 14.726008 28.188854 58.091026
2025-06-22 1.389276 2.433104 4.286121 7.941193 15.285325 30.081752 64.073327
2025-06-29 1.307428 2.328486 4.175918 7.898479 15.562097 31.425492 69.033412
2025-07-06 1.227298 2.220558 4.050247 7.812204 15.737735 32.572222 73.705966
2025-07-13 1.193886 2.197402 4.082400 8.044308 16.604680 35.311116 82.571056
2025-07-20 1.154706 2.159915 4.083255 8.211109 17.347479 37.862698 91.386521
2025-07-27 1.132238 2.152990 4.143148 8.506697 18.406671 41.268701 102.939648
2025-08-03 1.057784 2.037419 3.975742 8.297608 18.296139 41.904006 107.300798
2025-08-10 0.999094 1.949483 3.858130 8.186890 18.401984 43.073813 113.304694
2025-08-17 0.946812 1.870988 3.754191 8.097129 18.547582 44.358686 119.844344